Blake Oliver and David Leary are back with The Accounting Podcast after Blake’s bout with what he calls “the worst cold ever” from a Las Vegas conference. Their return episode tackles some major developments in accounting tech, including a massive deal between Intuit and OpenAI that could change how millions interact with their financial data.
AI Adoption Hits a Tipping Point
Blake kicked off the discussion by sharing insights from his recent presentation at the American Society of Cost Segregation Professionals conference. One striking statistic: 55% of US adults have now used generative AI like ChatGPT, up from 45% just a year ago.
“We passed the midpoint,” Blake noted. “The majority of American adults have now used ChatGPT.”
But here’s what should worry accounting professionals: A new survey reported by CPA Practice Advisor found that 10% of adults acted on AI tax guidance within the last 30 days, while 21% followed AI crypto advice. The problem, as Blake warns, is “AI gets complex tax questions wrong up to 50% of the time.”
Intuit Bets Big on OpenAI
The headline news centers on Intuit’s announcement that it will pay OpenAI $100 million per year in a multi-year deal. Soon, ChatGPT users will be able to connect their TurboTax, QuickBooks, Credit Karma, and Mailchimp accounts directly within ChatGPT.
David found this move puzzling given Intuit’s recent behavior: “Intuit just raised prices on developers to pull data from QBO to stop some of these AI plays from sucking all the QBO data. Now it’s the complete opposite. They’re going to pay somebody else to suck that data out.”
According to Intuit’s CFO, the real motivation is customer acquisition. They want to convert OpenAI’s 800 million weekly active users into Intuit customers. Blake sees this as part of a larger trend where ChatGPT becomes “the primary place where you work” by connecting to all your apps and data.
This raises questions for accounting firms. As David wondered aloud, “Are accountants going to panic when clients connect to ChatGPT?” The hosts noted that details about data privacy and whether users need to explicitly authorize these connections remain unclear.
The Two-Minute Rule for AI Accuracy
Blake’s presentation revealed a crucial insight about AI’s current limitations. Through his research, he found that AI can handle tasks with near 100% accuracy, but only if those tasks would take a human about two to five minutes to complete.
“The longer the task, the less accurate it gets,” Blake explained. For example, for tasks taking 30 minutes, accuracy drops to 80%. For two-hour tasks, it’s only 50% accurate. That’s essentially a coin flip.
This has real consequences. According to the survey data Blake cited, 19% of Americans have already lost over $100 following bad AI advice. Yet 27% still believe AI could provide all the financial guidance they need.
One bright spot came from a viewer comment during the live show. An intern at a mid-size firm shared that they spent 10% of their work time using Gen AI and were the only intern offered a permanent position due to superior productivity. “People will be judged against coworkers who are using AI and who are more productive,” David observed.
The good news is that AI’s capabilities are doubling every seven months. “If AI can do tasks with near 100% accuracy that are two minutes long right now, then in seven months it’ll be four, and in 14 months it’ll be eight,” he calculated.
Michael Burry Spots Another “Big Short”
Perhaps the most alarming story involves Michael Burry, the investor and hedge fund manager who famously predicted the 2008 mortgage crisis. His fund is now shorting AI companies like Palantir and Nvidia based on what he sees as widespread accounting manipulation.
The issue is tech giants extending depreciation schedules for their AI infrastructure to make their profits look better. Blake broke down the numbers:
- Alphabet extended depreciation from three to five years, adding $3 billion to profits
- Microsoft went from four to six years, gaining $2.7 billion
- Meta moved from four to five years for a $1.5 billion boost
- Amazon made similar changes
“Let’s say you have a $10 billion investment in AI chips,” Blake explained. “If your useful life is two years, you’re recognizing $5 billion of expense each year. But if you make that five years, now it’s only $2 billion of expense. That’s a $3 billion difference.”
David drew parallels to the 2008 crisis. “It’s like the Big Short when you roll up these bad loans into a different one. Now it looks good, but it’s really 300 bad loans. It’s totally the Big Short all over again.”
The hosts pointed out that the entire tech industry made these changes starting in 2022, suggesting coordinated “earnings management.” Yet auditors and regulators haven’t pushed back. “If everybody’s doing it, that makes it seem more reasonable,” Blake noted with frustration.
Other Notable Updates
The episode covered several other important developments:
Rippling vs. Deel Drama
New court documents reveal that Deel allegedly paid a corporate spy through the COO’s wife’s bank account. Rippling published bank statements showing the money trail. Deel’s corporate account sent funds to the COO’s wife, who forwarded the exact amount to the alleged spy just 56 seconds later.
Alternative Pathways Progress
New Jersey unexpectedly passed alternative pathways legislation for CPAs. If the Senate approves, it will become the 24th state to offer alternatives to the traditional 150-hour requirement. That’s nearly half the states in just 11 months.
PCAOB Admission
In a surprising interview, the PCAOB’s acting chair revealed that after 20 years, they’ve never formally defined what “audit quality” actually means. Blake couldn’t believe it: “Isn’t that their job?”
Ancient Accounting
In a lighter moment, David shared news about researchers discovering what might be an ancient general ledger in Peru: 5,200 holes arranged in patterns that may represent an accounting system used by the Inca.
Looking Ahead
The accounting profession is in the eye of a perfect storm. Clients trust AI tools despite high error rates, software companies scramble to partner with AI platforms rather than compete, and tech giants manipulate their books to show AI-driven profits that may not materialize.
Blake offers some practical advice for accounting professionals: identify those two-to-five minute tasks where AI excels and use it there. But also prepare to clean up messes from clients who trusted AI with complex questions it can’t reliably answer.
“Good news for tax pros,” Blake concluded with dark humor. “You’re going to be untangling tax messes for years thanks to bad AI tax advice.”
The full episode of The Accounting Podcast includes additional details about these stories and the hosts’ unfiltered analysis of what these trends mean for the profession. As David noted about their nearly broken seven-year weekly recording streak, consistency matters—especially when the industry is changing this fast.
