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Financial Forecasting

From Random Acts of Advisory to Strategic CFO Services

Earmark Team · January 7, 2026 ·

“The darkest times for an industry are the times in which an accountant is most valuable.”

Chris Macksey, CEO of Prix Fixe Accounting, learned this firsthand during the COVID-19 pandemic. While restaurants nationwide struggled to survive, his specialized firm actually grew—not despite the crisis, but because of it. Restaurant owners desperately needed help navigating Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans, Economic Injury Disaster Loan (EIDL) applications, and industry-specific relief programs that their generalist accountants couldn’t handle.

In this live recording of the Earmark Podcast from Boston’s Advisory Amplified tour, host Blake Oliver explores how accounting firms can evolve beyond traditional services to become true strategic partners. Joined by Chris and James Erving, Head of Sales, Americas at Fathom, the conversation shows that delivering valuable advisory work doesn’t require advanced certifications or complex methodologies. It just takes a willingness to form opinions and use modern tools to turn financial data into business guidance.

What Advisory Really Means (And Why Accountants Struggle With It)

The accounting profession can’t even agree on what advisory means. James cuts through the confusion with a simple definition: “Being involved in the decision-making process rather than just the delivery of information.”

Chris takes it further. At Prix Fixe Accounting, he treats advisory as completely separate from Client Accounting Services (CAS), even assigning different team members to each. “It’s any of the work that you can’t scope really very easily,” he explains. Unlike predictable bookkeeping tasks, advisory demands flexibility and judgment.

The real challenge is having an opinion. “I have run into so many accountants who just won’t have an opinion about anything other than the accuracy of the financial statements,” Blake says bluntly.

Chris shows what having an opinion looks like in practice. When a restaurant’s food costs creep up from 23% to 28%, he doesn’t just report the variance. He digs deeper. “Is it that something’s changed in the kitchen, or is it just inflation that’s causing that number to gradually rise over time?” That shift from reporting what happened to explaining why it happened (and what might happen next) is where advisory begins.

But not every client needs this level of service, and knowing when to offer it makes all the difference.

Finding the Right Clients for Advisory Services

James identifies three clear signals that a business needs advisory support. First, rapid growth that outpaces the owner’s ability to manage finances. Second, reaching a size where DIY financial management becomes overwhelming but hiring a full-time CFO doesn’t make sense. Third, major events like acquisitions or exit planning.

This targeted approach beats what James calls “random acts of advisory”—the unpaid, unstructured advice many firms already provide without recognizing its value. By identifying specific triggers, firms can systematically deliver advisory services rather than hoping opportunities appear.

The conversation also reveals an important distinction between types of forecasting. James explains that small businesses often need short-term cash flow forecasts to predict cash positions in the next week or two. Larger or more stable businesses benefit from FP&A-style planning with three-to-12-month horizons and scenario modeling.

Understanding which clients need which services allows firms to focus their efforts where they’ll have the most impact, and where clients see enough value to pay premium fees.

Why Industry Specialization Accelerates Advisory Success

Chris’s restaurant-only focus demonstrates the power of specialization. His firm doesn’t just understand debits and credits; they understand why champagne and caviar became popular during the pandemic, how street construction affects revenue, and when consumers will pay for fine dining versus seeking value menus.

“Right now, consumers really feel a lot of pain in the pocketbook,” Chris explains. “The auto loan default rate is up. Credit card balances among consumers are at their highest levels. Consumer confidence is down.” This economic insight shapes his current advice: forget the $175 prix fixe menu and focus on feeding a family of four for under $75.

The specialization advantage goes beyond knowledge. Chris spent over a decade as a chef before becoming an accountant. “It’s a little bit of a cult industry,” he says of restaurants. “If you’re in, you’re in. If you’re out, you’re out.” This insider status builds trust that no amount of technical expertise could match.

His firm even mandates their approach. “The tech stack is set. There really aren’t any options. And there’s only one price point, it’s prix fixe. And you’re just going to have to enjoy the ride.”

This confidence comes from aggregated data across similar businesses. When restaurants see sales drop 20%, Chris can show clients it’s an industry-wide trend, not a personal failure. “When you can actually see that data and validate it for yourself, you know that no, it’s not you. It’s just the economy.”

The depth of specialization creates value generalist firms can’t match, but you don’t need a decade of industry experience to start delivering meaningful advisory services.

Making Advisory Practical: Tools, Metrics, and First Steps

“Once they actually do it for the first time, they realize, oh, I’m just looking at the last three years. I’m kind of rolling it forward, making an educated guess on what it’s going to be. And that’s really all it is.”

Chris uses this approach to explain forecasting for his team. Rather than treating it as an advanced skill only partners can handle, he involves staff accountants in creating annual budgets. They examine historical data, consider market conditions, gather client insights, like upcoming construction that might impact foot traffic, then make informed projections.

The key is matching the service to the business reality. Chris doesn’t do detailed cash flow forecasts for restaurants because “they have such tight cash flow that you’re off 5% and your cash flow projection’s shot.” Instead, he focuses on annual budgets with monthly check-ins.

Visual presentation transforms complex data into insights clients can actually use. “Our client base is largely visual people, and the financial literacy is usually pretty low,” Chris notes. He spent over a decade cooking before seeing a P&L statement, so he understands the challenge. Charts showing 12-month trends for metrics like food costs communicate far better than spreadsheets full of numbers.

Non-financial metrics add crucial context. For lodging clients, Chris tracks occupancy rates, average daily rates, and rooms sold. These are “numbers that you will not see surfaced in QuickBooks.” When revenue changes, these metrics reveal whether it’s a pricing issue or a volume problem.

James emphasizes the importance of using proper tools. “You don’t have to build an entire Excel model customized to a client to get started.” Modern platforms like Fathom automate much of the work, creating professional forecasts and visual dashboards without custom spreadsheets for each client.

For firms ready to begin, Chris and James offer practical advice. Start with forecasting, since it’s a natural extension of work you already do. Pick one or two industries where you have multiple clients and build expertise gradually. Ask more questions about your clients’ businesses. And remember, clients don’t expect you to know everything. They value accountants willing to connect financial data to business decisions.

Your Path from Compliance to Advisory

The shift from traditional accounting to advisory starts with three elements: forming opinions based on financial data, developing knowledge of specific industries or situations, and using modern tools to make forecasting efficient rather than overwhelming.

Chris’s experience during the pandemic proves the value of this transformation. While generalist firms struggled to help clients navigate crisis programs, his specialized knowledge made Prix Fixe Accounting indispensable.

The firms making this transition today position themselves for a future where their value only increases. Economic uncertainty creates more need for strategic guidance. Industry disruption demands advisors who understand both the numbers and their context. Business owners facing unprecedented challenges need professionals willing to venture beyond historical facts into forward-looking advice.

Listen to the full episode to hear additional insights on pricing advisory services, overcoming staff resistance, and managing the cultural shift within your firm. Chris and James’s conversation offers a practical roadmap for any firm ready to move beyond “random acts of advisory” to systematic, profitable guidance that transforms both your practice and your clients’ businesses.

QuickBooks Online Advanced Unleashes AI-Powered Financial Forecasting

Earmark Team · April 15, 2024 ·

Imagine having a crystal ball that could predict your clients’ financial future with unparalleled accuracy. With the introduction of AI-driven financial forecasting in QuickBooks Online Advanced, that dream is closer to reality than ever before.

In this Unofficial QuickBooks Accountants Podcast episode, hosts Hector Garcia and Alicia Katz Pollock dive into the exciting world of AI and advanced features in QuickBooks, focusing on the potential for improved financial forecasting and decision-making. While these innovations offer exciting opportunities, they challenge maintaining transparency and trust. 

The Promise of AI-Driven Financial Forecasting

QuickBooks Online Advanced is set to introduce enhanced cash flow forecasting for balance sheets powered by artificial intelligence. This AI-powered forecasting considers factors like seasonality, customer attrition, and location to provide more accurate predictions. As Alicia Katz Pollock notes in the podcast, “I think they listened to our episode about the QuickBooks, about the cash flow forecasting, because every single thing that we said that we wanted it to do is here: seasonality, customer attrition, which is what I was calling customer churn, and then also location, being able to look at your region versus other regions.”

These factors contribute to more accurate predictions in various ways:

  • Seasonality: By analyzing historical data and trends, AI can help businesses anticipate and prepare for seasonal fluctuations in cash flow.
  • Customer Attrition: AI can identify patterns in customer behavior that may indicate a churn risk, allowing businesses to take proactive measures to retain clients and maintain steady cash flow.
  • Location-Based Data: Comparing financial performance across different regions can help businesses identify areas of strength or weakness and make more informed decisions about resource allocation.

The advanced features have the potential to revolutionize how accounting professionals provide financial advice and make decisions for their clients.

The Importance of Transparency and Trust

While the promise of AI-driven financial forecasting is undeniably exciting, it raises important questions about transparency and trust. Hector Garcia says, “As an accountant, I want to know what logic you’re applying to it. This whole thing of ‘don’t worry, it’s AI’ is black magic. ‘We are suggesting this out of nowhere.’ That’s not going to fly with us. I want to know what your AI is doing and the justification for suggesting this thing or that thing into the forecast.”

To fully leverage the benefits of AI-driven forecasting, accounting professionals must balance embracing new technologies and maintaining the trust and confidence of their clients. This means:

  • Understanding the logic and methodology behind AI-generated predictions
  • Being able to explain these predictions to clients in clear, accessible terms
  • Ensuring that AI is used as a tool to enhance human expertise, not replace it
  • Maintaining a critical eye and verifying AI-driven insights against other data sources

Accounting professionals must collaborate with technology providers to ensure that AI tools meet the industry’s specific needs and prioritize transparency. By finding the right balance, professionals can harness the power of AI-driven forecasting while still providing the human touch essential to building strong client relationships.

Preparing for the Future of Accounting

As AI continues to shape the future of accounting, professionals must stay informed, adapt their skills, and find ways to leverage these new technologies while prioritizing transparency and trust. This means:

  • Staying up-to-date with the latest developments in AI and machine learning
  • Investing in education and training to develop skills in data analysis and interpretation
  • Advocating for transparency and explainability in AI-driven accounting software
  • Maintaining a critical eye and verifying AI-generated insights against other data sources

By taking a proactive approach to integrating AI in accounting, professionals can position themselves at the forefront of this exciting new frontier.

The Bottom Line

The introduction of AI-driven financial forecasting in QuickBooks Online Advanced marks an exciting milestone in the evolution of accounting software. By considering factors like seasonality, customer attrition, and location-based data, AI can help businesses make more accurate predictions and informed decisions.

However, the success of AI in accounting relies on maintaining transparency and trust. Accounting professionals must understand the logic behind AI-generated insights and be able to explain them to clients. They should also view AI as a tool to enhance their expertise rather than replace it.

To thrive in the age of AI, accounting professionals should prioritize continuous learning, advocate for transparent AI tools, and collaborate with technology providers. By doing so, they can harness the power of AI-driven forecasting while continuing to provide the human expertise and judgment that is essential to their work.

To learn more about the future of AI in QuickBooks and how you can prepare your practice for these exciting changes, listen to the full episode of the Unofficial QuickBooks Accountants Podcast. With hosts Hector Garcia and Alicia Katz Pollock as your guides, you’ll gain valuable insights and strategies for navigating the brave new world of AI-driven accounting.


Alicia Katz Pollock’s Royalwise OWLS (On-Demand Web-based Learning Solutions) is the industry’s premier portal for top-notch QuickBooks Online training with CPE for accounting firms, bookkeepers, and small business owners. Visit Royalwise OWLS, where learning QBO is a HOOT!

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