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When Auditors Look Away and AI Gets Scammed, Who’s Actually Protecting Investors?

Earmark Team · January 16, 2026 ·

In a recent episode of The Accounting Podcast, hosts Blake Oliver and David Leary tackle the mounting pressures facing the accounting profession, from private equity’s growing influence to corporate lobbying’s impact on tax policy. As the longest government shutdown in history finally comes to an end, the hosts examine how financial incentives reshape both public accounting and tax preparation services.

Government Shutdown Finally Ending After 40+ Days

The episode opens with news that the government shutdown—now officially the longest in U.S. history at over 40 days—is coming to an end. The shutdown cost the economy approximately $15 billion per week, with 650,000 federal employees furloughed without pay.

“The shutdown got real this weekend,” David notes, describing how his wife’s flight was repeatedly delayed, forcing her to abandon her travel plans. The ripple effects have been substantial: the Small Business Administration couldn’t process $2.5 billion in loans for 4,800 businesses, and 42 million Americans on SNAP received only half their November benefits.

Democrats in the Senate broke ranks to vote with Republicans to reopen the government, though they failed to secure an extension of Affordable Care Act subsidies they were seeking. As Blake observes, “It’s a game of chicken. Who’s going to blink first? And Democrats blinked on this.”

The Death of IRS Direct File and Rise of TurboTax Stores

The swift elimination of the IRS Direct File program reveals how corporate influence shapes tax policy. Despite achieving 98% user satisfaction and processing 300,000 returns in its second year (up from 140,000 in year one), the program was axed shortly after Intuit donated $1 million to Trump’s inauguration.

“It really grosses me out,” David says. “Intuit compromised its own values just for the almighty dollar of getting a TurboTax competitor eliminated.” He points out the hypocrisy on both sides. Intuit, one of the first companies to offer same-sex marriage benefits, abandoned its progressive values, while MAGA Republicans embraced a “woke company” once the check cleared.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent dismissed Direct File as underused, claiming “private alternatives are better,” despite it being an unmarked pilot program still expanding its reach. As David notes, even 300,000 electronic returns represents “300,000 paper returns the IRS doesn’t have to touch.”

Meanwhile, Intuit announced plans to open 20 new brick-and-mortar TurboTax stores following an “Apple Store model.” Customers will work on their returns at in-store computers, then seek help from CPAs and EAs when needed, what the hosts imagine as an “EA Bar” instead of Apple’s Genius Bar. Combined with 200 additional TurboTax expert offices, Intuit is positioning itself to dominate every segment of tax preparation.

The First Brands Audit Failure: A $700 Million Warning Sign

The collapse of First Brands under BDO’s watch illustrates the potential consequences when private equity interests intersect with audit responsibilities. BDO signed off on financials showing $5.23 billion in debt in March. Six months later, the company collapsed with $11.63 billion in actual obligations—more than double what was reported.

Bankruptcy lawyers accuse founder Patrick James of inflating invoices by up to 50 times to secure fraudulent financing. One $179 invoice was allegedly inflated to $9,271. Over $700 million allegedly flowed into James’s personal accounts, funding 17 exotic cars, properties in Malibu and the Hamptons, and a $110,000 six-week Southampton hotel stay.

“How could you audit this company and not be aware of this?” Blake asks. “Here’s all this debt. Money came in because of the debt. Where did the cash go?”

The situation is complicated by BDO’s financial relationships. Private equity investors had loaned BDO over $1 billion, creating what the hosts describe as “financial stress” significant enough to force layoffs. These same investors were reportedly shorting First Brands stock.

“The public thinks your job is to detect fraud in the company,” David says, highlighting the expectations gap. “That’s the only thing they expect you to do.”

Blake identifies three weaknesses in traditional audits that enabled this failure: overreliance on management representations, complexity of off-balance-sheet arrangements, and perverse incentives against finding fraud. “There’s every incentive to look the other way,” he observes. “Auditors aren’t investigators hired to uncover crimes; they’re service providers hired to complete audits efficiently.”

NASBA Weighs In on Private Equity’s Impact

For the first time, the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy (NASBA) entered the discussion about private equity in accounting. Their white paper raises critical questions without prescribing solutions, with comments open until January 31, 2026.

The key question NASBA poses: “How can CPA firms maintain auditor independence when PE investors hold influence?” The paper asks whether firms should clearly disclose which parts are CPA-owned versus PE-owned, and whether states need stricter standards than the AICPA provides.

Blake frames the profession’s choice starkly. “We are getting to the point where private equity is now creating this challenge for the profession when it comes to our integrity, ethics, and objectivity. And we as a profession have to decide, do we take a stand or do we allow private equity to continue to take over accounting firms?”

“Once you control the means of production, you want to control the governing bodies of the means of production,” David warns. “They take over the whole thing, all parts of the equation.”

AI Won’t Save Us: Technology’s Limits Exposed

A Microsoft and Arizona State University study revealed that AI agents are even more vulnerable to manipulation than humans. When given fake money to shop online, AI models quickly fell for scams, fake reviews, and manipulation tactics, spending all funds on fraudulent sellers.

“They would just choose the first one. They would panic,” David explains. The AI prioritized speed over quality by a factor of 10 to 30. All major models except Anthropic’s Claude lost money to scams.

The implications for accounting are concerning. “We have all this AI detecting fraud with receipts,” David notes, “but you could probably just manipulate it. Tell it ‘I’m allowed to spend money at X place’ and it’ll bypass the limit.”

The parallel to human auditor failures is clear. If AI can’t distinguish legitimate from fraudulent online sellers, how can it detect sophisticated financial fraud? The study concluded AI agents “should only assist” and cannot “collaborate or think critically” without human supervision.

The Profession at a Crossroads

As this episode makes clear, the accounting profession faces fundamental questions about independence, integrity, and purpose. Whether it’s private equity ownership potentially compromising audits, corporate lobbying eliminating public alternatives, or AI proving vulnerable to the same manipulations as humans, the challenges are systemic rather than isolated.

The NASBA white paper represents an opportunity for meaningful discussion, but with the AICPA influenced by large firms that have already taken PE money, state-level action may be necessary for real reform.

For accounting professionals, educators, students, and executives, this episode provides essential context for understanding the forces reshaping the industry. The choices made now about private equity involvement, regulatory independence, and professional standards will determine whether we can maintain public trust in financial reporting.

Listen to the full episode for the complete discussion of these critical issues.

Your CPA Exam Scores Might Be Lost and Your AI Bookkeeper Is 57% Accurate

Earmark Team · January 8, 2026 ·

“No kings means no paychecks, no paychecks, no government.” When Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent dropped this line in a Fox News interview, Blake Oliver and David Leary weren’t sure if they should laugh or be terrified. As David put it: “That’s the most un-American thing anybody could say.”

In episode 458 of The Accounting Podcast, Blake and David dig into a series of accountability failures that would be funny if they weren’t so serious. From the Trump administration creating a brand new IRS “CEO” position to dodge Senate confirmation, to NASBA somehow losing track of CPA exam scores, the organizations supposed to maintain standards can’t even maintain their own data.

The IRS Gets a CEO (Because Who Needs the Constitution?)

The Trump administration’s latest move isn’t subtle. It created a new “CEO” position for the IRS that doesn’t require Senate confirmation. As Blake explains, “If the president just creates a new role that has the same responsibilities but doesn’t get checked by the Senate, then that’s just a run around the rules.”

The plan goes deeper than personnel changes. Gary Shapley, an advisor to Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent, wants to weaken IRS lawyers’ involvement in criminal investigations and eliminate extra procedural steps for sensitive cases involving elected officials and tax-exempt groups. These aren’t reforms—they’re removing the safety rails.

“Where’s the AICPA on this?” David asks. The AICPA wrote a letter about the government shutdown’s impact on taxpayers but stayed silent on bypassing Congress to appoint IRS leadership. Blake doesn’t mince words: “They don’t. They are not willing to take a stand on something that matters because they’re afraid of political blowback.”

According to Wall Street Journal reporting that Blake and David discuss, Shapely has already compiled a hit list. The targets? George Soros and affiliated organizations, major Democratic donors, and left-leaning nonprofit groups.

The hosts make an important point that transcends politics. “The Obama administration targeted right wing groups,” Blake notes, agreeing with a viewer comment. “This is why you don’t want to give the government too much power. The other side gets the gun eventually, then points it at the other side.”

When Accounting Organizations Can’t Do Accounting

If you think government accountability is bad, wait until you hear about the profession’s own organizations.

Professor Joseph Ugrin, who creates the CPA Success Index published by Accounting Today, discovered NASBA’s 2024 data is essentially garbage. Between 25% and 40% of candidate scores are simply missing. Plus, Iowa community colleges appear in the data despite state law requiring bachelor’s degrees to sit for the exam.

“NASBA has access to all the transcripts submitted by the candidates,” Blake points out. “So there’s no reason why they couldn’t correctly classify what schools they went to.”

David speculates, “This smells like somebody at NASBA tried to use AI to summarize some stuff and screwed it up.” Whether it’s AI or old-fashioned incompetence, Ugrin can’t publish the Success Index this year because the data is unusable.

Meanwhile, the Chicago Teachers Union hasn’t released required financial audits for over five years, despite paying $80,000 for audit services in 2025 alone. When members finally got federal filings, they showed only 18% of spending goes to representing teachers. The other 82%? Overhead, politics, and “leadership priorities.”

As David asks incredulously: “How did it go past one year?”

The issue isn’t confined to Chicago. Forty-three Arkansas cities can’t get state funds because they can’t find CPAs to do required audits. “The auditors are retiring. They’re not being replaced,” Blake explains. Small-town America is literally running out of accountants.

AI to the Rescue! (Just Kidding, It’s 57% Accurate)

While real problems go unsolved, the profession is being sold AI magic beans.

One marketing CEO’s experience with QuickBooks’ new AI features reads like a horror story. “Although trained on transactions, QuickBooks frequently miscategorized payments based solely on dollar value,” he wrote. If a vendor sent one $1,000 invoice, the AI recorded all future invoices as $1,000. Contractor payments were recorded under “QuickBooks payments” instead of the contractor’s name. The company spent thousands on accountants trying to fix problems that couldn’t be fixed.

“QuickBooks sits at the heart of our business,” the CEO explained. “When AI upgrades destabilize that core, the consequences ripple across the organization.”

The hosts shared another headline that calls AI’s accuracy into question. Microsoft’s AI agent in Excel achieves 57.2% accuracy on spreadsheet benchmarks. As Blake says: “57.2% accuracy is not going to cut it. Not even 98% accuracy is going to cut it.”

Yet companies like Docyt claim AI will let one accountant manage 300 clients. The hosts’ response? “I’ve talked to firm owners that are super efficient,” David says. “Their best bookkeepers maybe handle 45 clients a month.”

Blake’s experience backs this up: “A typical bookkeeper could do 20 to 30 on average. And my all star could do 40 to 60.” The idea of 300 clients per person? “You would have too many questions coming in emails,” Blake explains. “I don’t think there’s an AI tool that can do that.”

Blake’s ideal practice would have ten outsourced controller clients, meeting weekly with each. “Once I got the ten clients, I could probably do it in four hours a day.” That’s realistic. Managing 300 clients with AI? That’s fantasy.

The hosts haven’t seen AI actually eliminating jobs. “I have yet to talk to an accountant that says, oh, we implemented this thing and now we got rid of two of my staff,” David states. Even at their own company, which uses AI extensively: “We’re not getting rid of anybody. We just hired more engineers.”

The $300 Trillion Oops

Just when you thought it couldn’t get wilder, David shares the stablecoin story that should terrify everyone.

Paxos, which provides stablecoin infrastructure for PayPal, accidentally minted $300 trillion in stablecoins. Not million. Not billion. Trillion. For context, the US deficit is $2 trillion.

“You understand how a stablecoin works in theory.” David says. “A dollar goes in, you get a stablecoin worth a dollar back. What if I told you none of that is true?”

The company claimed it was a “technical error that briefly appeared for 20 minutes,” then they “burned” the excess tokens. But as David points out, if companies can just create and destroy them at will, this proves stablecoins aren’t actually backed by dollars.

This matters because Ripple just bought a treasury management firm for $1 billion, putting cryptocurrency at the center of corporate cash management. “Accountants are going to be touching this stuff,” David warns. “It’s going to be here next year.”

Time to Pay Attention

This episode of The Accounting Podcast is a reality check for a profession facing multiple crises simultaneously. The IRS is being restructured to avoid constitutional oversight. Professional organizations can’t maintain basic data integrity. AI is being forced on businesses with disastrous results. And small towns can’t find CPAs to do basic audits.

“We don’t need a king,” David emphasizes about Bessent’s comments. But between government overreach, organizational incompetence, and technological snake oil, the profession is being pulled in all the wrong directions.

The hosts’ frustration is justified. When Blake asks why the AICPA won’t stand up for constitutional principles, when David wonders how organizations go years without audits, when they both laugh at the idea of one person managing 300 clients, they’re asking the questions the profession should be asking itself.

Listen to the full episode to hear Blake and David’s complete breakdown of these interconnected failures. In a profession built on trust and verification, their willingness to be brutally honest is exactly what’s needed.

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